Media

02/15/2016 - Financial Repression Pillar – Ring-Fencing Regulations: FATCA

Pyramid

Our international taxation partner John Richardson was recently on CTV:

Here is our other international taxation partner Mark Nestmann:

LINK HERE to our International Taxation Services website

Jim Jatras is an attorney and a Washington based government and media specialist who was previously a U.S. diplomat and U.S. Senate staffer .. a discussion on FATCA:

Disclaimer: The views or opinions expressed in this blog post may or may not be representative of the views or opinions of the Financial Repression Authority.


02/15/2016 - Gordon T. Long: The Credit Cycle Has Turned

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Gordon T. Long – Credit Cycle Has Turned

from Financial Survival Network

Gordon T. Long says that the credit cycle has turned.

This is an ominous development for the stock market and the economy. Corporate revenue growth has been negative for a while. Earnings are now down and cash flow has hit the skids. Debt continues to accelerate and pretty soon there will be major credit problems, especially in the energy sector.

Where’s will the economy go next?

Click Here to Listen to the Audio

Disclaimer: The views or opinions expressed in this blog post may or may not be representative of the views or opinions of the Financial Repression Authority.


02/15/2016 - Gordon T Long: The Distorted Yield Curve Is Benefiting Governments, Large Corporations and Big Banks

Gordon-T-Long

Wall St for Main St’s Jason Burack interviews Gordon T Long on the negative consequences resulting from cheap credit, global credit cycle tightening, and a distorted yield curve .. a discussion about corporations doing financial engineering to grow earnings without increasing revenues & how leveraged buyouts (LBOs) have exploded since the financial crisis .. Gordon thinks the yield curve has been fully distorted to benefit governments, large corporations, big banks & Wall Street ..  thinks all of this ties into problems in the bond market, negative interest rates & financial repression .. a discussion about the bank stocks collapsing & about a potential stock market crash – Gordon thinks it is likely in the near future & that gold and silver prices have most likely bottomed .. the potential for gold to be confiscated – suggests silver may be safer than gold because governments are less likely to confiscate silver than gold .. Gordon sees an escalating massive tax grab coming  .. 54 minutes

Disclaimer: The views or opinions expressed in this blog post may or may not be representative of the views or opinions of the Financial Repression Authority.


02/12/2016 - FRA Brief – White Paper – What Is The Risk-Mitigated Way To Invest In Gold?


A Financial Repression Authority (FRA) Brief:

What Is The Risk-Mitigated Way To Invest In Gold?

Is it going on the stock market and buying a gold ETF like GLD? Is it buying gold mining stocks? Is it buying some gold coins and burying them in your back yard? Is it buying into a limited partnership where the gold is stored offshore? Is it buying gold coins and gold bullion bars and storing them in a safety deposit box at your bank?

The answer to all of the above is no from a risk-based perspective. What does a risk-based perspective mean and why is it important to invest in gold using a risk-based perspective?

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Courtesy of Matterhorn Asset Management GoldSwitzerland

In this brief, we will answer those questions by assessing 15 different risks encompassing market risk, credit risk and operational risk. These risks are tabled below. These risks do not take into account certain risks such as the imposition of a windfall profits tax which may be taken by desperate indebted governments in certain jurisdictions.  Our organization, the Financial Repression Authority (FRA), has assessed how well these risks are mitigated by a wide variety of provider firms buying, selling and storing gold.

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But before we get into looking at the risks, let’s consider the big questions about owning and investing in gold – Why does it make sense and why now? Why should anyone invest in an asset that does not pay any yield?  We point out below some of the simple yet powerful answers on why.

As to why now, we point out the trend so far this year has been bullish for gold in U.S. dollar terms, but emphasize how gold has already been bullish in most non-U.S. dollar terms over the past few years already.

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In addition, gold is an asset which performs well in extreme inflation and extreme deflation environments[i], and serves as protection in times where there is a loss of confidence in government. There are strong deflationary forces in the world today[ii], and many like Martin Armstrong point out how a loss of confidence in government can lead to hyperinflation.[iii][iv] These trends are very bullish for gold now and we think very likely to persist for the remainder of the decade.

Why Gold?

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Courtesy of Matterhorn Asset Management GoldSwitzerland

The quote from Voltaire has proven to be true for thousands of years. Paper money issued by governments eventually either loses its value or is taken out of circulation and existence. Here some long term charts showing this phenomenon[v][vi]:

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Courtesy of Bullion Management Group Inc.

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Courtesy of Bullion Management Group Inc.

In Roman history, coins were either phased out of existence or were chipped at the corner to reduce their value or were made with successively less gold and/or silver content.[vii][viii]

And since the creation of the Federal Reserve (U.S. central bank) in 1913, the purchasing power of the U.S. dollar has steadily decreased to a fraction of what it once had:

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All of these charts and trends emphasize the importance of holding gold as an asset and a currency for wealth preservation – purchasing power protection. Indeed gold is real money as JP Morgan proclaimed:

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We can also look at gold as money from the perspective of how the ancient Greek philosopher Aristotle defined money as.  He detailed characteristics of money as follows – gold meets all of these[ix]:

1.) It must be durable. Money must stand the test of time and the elements. It must not fade, corrode, or change through time.

2.) It must be portable. Money holds a high amount of ‘worth’ relative to its weight and size.

3.) It must be divisible. Money should be relatively easy to separate and re-combine without affecting its fundamental characteristics. An extension of this idea is that the item should be ‘fungible’. Dictionary.com describes fungible as:

“(esp. of goods) being of such nature or kind as to be freely exchangeable or replaceable, in whole or in part, for another of like nature or kind.”

4.) It must have intrinsic value. This value of money should be independent of any other object and contained in the money itself.

This is all fine and dandy. But the real reasons why it makes sense to hold gold and to hold it now stem from the current risks in today’s economy, financial system and investment environment. And it is these risks and how to mitigate these risks which really determine how best to hold gold today. Let’s explore these risks and some associated mitigation strategies below.

Risk Management Is The Key To Properly Investing In Gold

FRA has put together a nifty matrix (contact us to get more information on this risk matrix) of the risks stemming from the good-intentioned (macroprudential) central bank policies, government fiscal policies and financial regulations focused on controlling excessive government debt, attempting to stimulate economic growth and minimizing the potential for financial and economic crises. Let’s explore a few of these risks applicable to gold below.

Counterparty Risk

This is the risk relating to the entity or provider of an investment in which the entity or provider:

  • does not live up to their contractual agreement
  • presents adverse risks caused by changes in the regulations or environment where the entity or provider operates
  • presents adverse risks caused by the limitations or vulnerabilities in how or where the investment is held or stored

For gold as an investment, examples are counterparty risks stemming from:

  • insecure vaults or volatile environments where the gold is stored,
  • a financially stressed or bankrupted limited partnership entity holding the gold as an asset for its partners
  • a bank where there is the high potential for theft or confiscation resulting from changing financial regulations relating to gold held in a safety deposit box at that bank
  • a provider offering low quality gold

Mitigation of Counterparty Risk: Gold as an investment already represents holding an asset with no liability to any party.

Also, buy the gold from a reputable provider which can deliver the highest quality gold – 999.9 or 99.99% for 1 kilo and 100 gram bars, and for 400oz bars a certification for London Good Delivery.

Additionally counterparty risk needs to be mitigated for storage provider and jurisdictional concerns. For that, invest and store physical gold outside of the banking system and diversify the location of the storage in different jurisdictions. Ensure that the gold is held in an allocated and segregated format with direct ownership (in your name or entity, not that of the provider or a limited partnership). And in the event that the storage providers go out of business, ensure that you still own the gold, and that you can easily and promptly get your gold. Also ensure that the gold is insured by a major international insurance company. And ensure that you can inspect your gold upon request, that you can collect your gold when you request to even in the event of a financial or economic crisis.

Default Risk

This is the risk for an entity or provider of an investment and its associated storage to not meet its payment or debt obligations. For example a gold storage provider is not able to, or does not pay, its loans, debt or bonds, and which provider subsequently goes bankrupt.

Mitigation of Default Risk: Invest and store gold with entities which have financially strong balance sheets, little or no loans or debt, and which are located in secure, stable legal jurisdictions protected through bailment and other laws which will clearly and promptly allow you to get your gold without any legal hassles or potential for confiscation in the event of a default with the entity or provider. And also ensure that the gold is insured by a major international insurance company.

Valuations Risk

This is the risk of entering into an investment when the valuation of that investment is not attractive. An example is like buying a stock at a stock market peak.  For gold, it is difficult to put a valuation to it as it lacks corporate earnings and yield. However, here is a chart showing how little interest there is now in gold as an investment asset class. With such a miniscule interest, it is not likely that its valuation is very high currently.

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Courtesy of Dan Popescu

Gold is under owned relative to financial assets at this time. Incrementum has a great chart showing how small gold is relative to other investment asset classes[x]:

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Courtesy of Incrementum Liechtenstein

Mitigation of Valuation Risk. At this time investing in gold already mitigates this risk due to the above considerations.

Purchasing Power Loss Risk

This is the risk of an investment not able to preserve how well it, or the proceeds from it after selling it, can be used to purchase the goods and services you need or want. It’s about preserving your wealth when a currency loses purchasing power from inflation or currency depreciation/devaluation.

If this year you have an investment from which you could liquidate to buy 100,000 cups of Starbucks Tall Dark Roast coffee priced at $200,000 but in 5 years from now the same investment only allows you to buy say 50,000 cups of Starbucks Tall Dark Roast cups of coffee, even though the price at that time is say $300,000, what good is the $100,000 gain in that investment?

A key characteristic of gold which has held for thousands of years is the preservation of purchasing power. The old saying of one ounce of gold is equivalent to a fine European cut suit is an illustration of this[xi].

Mitigation of Purchasing Power Loss Risk. Simply keeping a certain allocation of one’s assets in gold is sufficient to mitigate the purchasing power loss risk. The optimal percentage depends upon what assets you hold, what currencies those assets are in, and the correlation of those assets with gold. It is generally recommended to hold more or less 10% of your assets into gold – some say as low as 5% while some say as much as 25%.

Negative Yield Risk

This is the risk that an investment yields a negative yield, such as with many bonds and some bank deposits today around the world as central banks push us into the twilight zone of negative interest rates. For gold, there is no yield, so that there is no issue of negative yield risk.

Mitigation of Negative Yield Risk. Simply owning physical gold entails a yield of 0%, higher than a negative yield.

Liquidity Risk

This is the risk that an investment cannot be sold easily or quickly due to limitations in market participants or to the insufficient volume of a market.  For gold, this means the ability to sell your gold easily and quickly at reasonable market-based rates and to get the proceeds from such a sale easily and quickly as well.

Mitigation of Liquidity Risk. A provider setup to offer and store allocated, segregated and directly owned gold translates into gold that can be easily and quickly sold.

Correlation Risk

This is the risk of linkages and similarities in the performance between investments.  For gold, the historical data indicates an inverse correlation with stocks[xii]. Also many studies have shown that adding gold as an asset in a traditional stocks/bonds portfolio not only adds performance but also reduces overall risk & volatility to the portfolio.

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Courtesy of Bullion Management Group Inc.

Mitigation of Correlation Risk. In an environment in which stocks are in a bear market, such as what appears to be in place for this year so far, gold is a great asset to own, given the inverse correlation to stocks. And even if stocks are not bearish, it is nice to have an asset allocation to gold just for purposes of balancing the correlation risks within a portfolio in general. And there is a case to be made for holding gold in a portfolio for asset allocation optimization[xiii].

Negative Interest Rate Risk

This is the risk of negative interest rates, whether they be nominal negative interest rates or real negative interest rates (nominal minus inflation rate), representing a loss of purchasing power over time.  As an asset in a negative interest rate environment, gold performs very well[xiv].

Mitigation of Negative Interest Rate Risk. Simply holding gold as an asset in a negative interest rate environment addresses this risk.

Capital Controls Risk

img12This is the risk of restrictions placed on the movement of capital and assets, whether physically or via wire transfer across international borders or between different jurisdictions. For gold, this means the ability to transport gold across international borders and also the ability to wire transfer the funds to purchase to buy gold, or to wire transfer the sales proceeds from sold gold holdings.

Mitigation of Capital Controls Risk.  Consider buying and holding gold in jurisdictions which are stable, secure and with strong legal infrastructures, a gold-friendly history and little or no debt, and the ability for capital and assets to freely (through minimal paperwork and restrictions) move across its international borders.  In this regard, we see jurisdictions like Switzerland, Hong Kong and Singapore as being some of the best. The mitigation of this risk is also tied to the mitigation of nationalization risk.

Nationalization Risk

This is the risk of assets, funds or companies or even specific resources being taken over, managed or controlled by the government.  For gold, this could mean a declaration or regulation instituted by the government to take over the ownership of gold within a country or jurisdiction.

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Mitigation of Nationalization Risk. Monitor in an on-going basis your investment-related jurisdictions worldwide. Keep abreast of new or changing government regulations, edicts or legislations affecting any aspects of the purchase, sale or storage of gold. The mitigation of this risk is also tied with the mitigation of geographical risk.

Geographical Risk

This is the risk of geo-political events and jurisdictional regulations adversely affecting the valuation, holding or storage of an investment. For gold, this could mean events like war or social unrest affecting the safety and security of the storage of your gold. Or for another example, a regulation stipulating the illegality of investing in, holding or storing gold in a particular jurisdiction – like the U.S. for many years from 1933 referred to in the above under nationalization risk.

Mitigation of Geographical Risk. Diversify internationally where gold is held and how it is held from a country and jurisdictional perspective.  An emphasis on stable and secure political, economic and financial jurisdictions is important. In this regard, we see jurisdictions like Switzerland, Hong Kong and Singapore as being some of the best.

Wealth Confiscation Risk

The risk here is the outright confiscation of assets through bank bailins, wealth taxes or changes in ownership structure. For gold, this could mean bank bailins or bank account dormancy involving the confiscation of safety deposit contents, or the imposition of wealth taxes on gold profits or the valuation of holdings.

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Mitigation of Wealth Confiscation Risk.  Consider buying and holding gold in jurisdictions which are stable, secure and with strong legal infrastructures and a gold-friendly history and little or no debt.  In this regard, we see jurisdictions like Switzerland, Hong Kong and Singapore as being some of the best. The mitigation of this risk is also tied to the mitigation of nationalization risk (addressed above).

Regulatory Risk

This is the risk of changes in regulations or legislation affecting the viability or operation of an investment. For gold, it could mean changes in how or where gold is bought or stored, by method, volume, timeframe, or use.

Mitigation of Regulatory Risk. The mitigation of this risk is covered by the mitigation of capital control risk, wealth confiscation risk, nationalization risk and geographical risk – addressed above.

Bank Bailin Risk

This is the risk of banks assigning or confiscating assets from bank depositors, which could extend also to bank safety deposit boxes, in the event of a banking crisis. For gold, it could mean getting your gold simply taken by the bank to shore up the capital adequacy of the bank in the event of a banking crisis.

Mitigation of Bank Bailin Risk. The mitigation of this risk is covered by the mitigation of capital control risk, wealth confiscation risk, nationalization risk and geographical risk – addressed above.

Custodial Risk

This is the risk of loss or theft on assets resulting from events or actions (such as insolvency, lawsuits, or expropriation) of the storage provider, holder, custodian or manager of the assets. For gold, this could mean a bankruptcy in the storage provider, resulting in difficulties or impossibilities on getting your gold, or a long drawn-out entanglement in court with unclear and confiscatory liquidation actions on bank assets, bank buildings and operations, and bank safety deposit boxes.

Mitigation of Custodial Risk. Invest and store physical gold in safe, secure non-bank vaults outside of the banking system and diversify the location of the storage in different stable, secure jurisdictions with little or no debt, minimizing the potential for insolvencies, lawsuits or expropriations. Ensure that the gold is held in allocated, segregated and direct ownership (in your name or entity, not that of the provider) format. And ensure that you still own the gold, and that you can easily and promptly get your gold in the event that the storage provider goes out of business. And also ensure that the gold is insured by a major international insurance company. And ensure that you can inspect your gold upon request, that you can collect your gold when you request to, even in the event of a financial crisis.

Conclusion

Investing in gold makes sense now and very likely for the remainder of the decade. However the way you invest in gold Is very important as there are many market, credit and operational risks which affect gold investing. These risks pose potentially adverse outcomes to vulnerabilities which could mean your investment in gold may not meet your expectations or worse, could translate into capital losses or legal complications.

A Financial Repression Authority (FRA) Brief

See our website for more information – www.financialrepressionauthority.com

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FRA Macroprudential Policy Advisors, 200-131 Bloor Street West, Toronto Canada M5S1R8,  tel/fax = +14163525508

[i] http://dailyreckoning.com/how-inflation-could-be-caused-in-15-minutes/

[ii] http://goldsilverworlds.com/economy/jim-rickards-what-will-the-fed-decide-in-2016/

[iii] http://news.goldseek.com/GoldSeek/1437940421.php

[iv] https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/history/ancient-economies/punic-wars-the-economic-confidence-model

[v] https://goldswitzerland.com/why-gold/

[vi] http://bmgbullionbars.com/gold-is-money/

[vii] http://www.armstrongeconomics.com/research/monetary-history-of-the-world/roman-empire/monetary-history-of-imperial-rome/294-360-ad

[viii] http://history.econtrader.com/devaluation_of_the_roman_currency.htm

[ix] http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article10370.html

[x] http://www.incrementum.li/research-analysis/in-gold-we-trust-2013/

[xi] http://www.bmgbullion.com/doc_bin/gold_investor_vol_4_infographic.pdf

[xii] http://www.bmgbullion.com/doc_bin/RethinkingAssetAllocation_Jul08.pdf

[xiii] http://www.merkinvestments.com/downloads/2014-03-20-case-for-gold-optimal-portfolio-allocation.pdf

[xiv] http://dollarcollapse.com/gold/gold-in-a-negative-interest-rate-world/

Disclaimer: The views or opinions expressed in this blog post may or may not be representative of the views or opinions of the Financial Repression Authority.


02/12/2016 - Negative Interest Rates – The Next Central Bank Macroprudential Policy Tool

McAlvany Commentary  .. Negative Rates for All: The next central bank macroprudential policy tool .. 49 minutes

Disclaimer: The views or opinions expressed in this blog post may or may not be representative of the views or opinions of the Financial Repression Authority.


02/07/2016 - Incrementum’s Ronald-Peter Stoeferle On Gold, Negative Interest Rates, Financial Repression

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Lars Schall speaks with Incrementum AG’s Ronald-Peter Stoeferle about this year’s prospects for gold, silver & mining shares; the still increasing gold demand in China; & a book that Stoeferle co-authored, Austrian School for Investors – Austrian Investing Between Inflation and Deflation. .. an update on trends in negative interest rates, money printing, capital controls .. Stoeferle also discusses his new book on investing using the principles of the Austrian School of Economics .. 31 minutes

LINK HERE to our webpage on the Investing using the Principles of the Austrian School of Economics

Disclaimer: The views or opinions expressed in this blog post may or may not be representative of the views or opinions of the Financial Repression Authority.


01/26/2016 - PwC: Financial Repression Of Savers and Retirees In The New Normal

With bond yields going lower, PwC’s Andrew Sentance discusses financial repression & its unintended consequences to savers & retirees .. 4 minutes

Disclaimer: The views or opinions expressed in this blog post may or may not be representative of the views or opinions of the Financial Repression Authority.


01/14/2016 - Did You Know Banks Can Take Your Money In A Banking Crisis?

When the next financial crisis comes – the big banks could save themselves by confiscating your money right out of your checking account. Banking expert Ellen Brown, Public Banking Institute/Web of Debt/The Public Bank Solution explains how in Conversations with Great Minds. .. it’s financial repression .. 13 minutes

Disclaimer: The views or opinions expressed in this blog post may or may not be representative of the views or opinions of the Financial Repression Authority.


01/06/2016 - Depositors Die and Banks Live in Next Financial Calamity

Greg Hunter interviews Ellen Brown who warns that people are more at risk in the U.S. to lose their savings because the 5 biggest banks have nearly $250 trillion in derivatives. In a financial calamity that could cause mass bankruptcies, recent legislation says the derivative holders will be paid first. Brown explains: “The have super priority over everything. . . . All the creditors’ money will be taken in a bail-in. A bail-in is the opposite of a bankruptcy. In a bankruptcy, the bank is liquidated in order to pay off the creditors. In a bail-in, the creditors’ money is taken in order to keep the bank alive. So, we get to die while the bank lives instead of the reverse. They specifically say ‘creditors’ which means shareholders and bond holders, but what most people don’t realize is depositors are also considered creditors. When you put your money in a bank, it becomes the property of the bank, and all you have is an IOU.” .. it’s financial repression .. 24 minutes

Disclaimer: The views or opinions expressed in this blog post may or may not be representative of the views or opinions of the Financial Repression Authority.


12/21/2015 - Daniel Amerman: Financial Repression & The New Interest Rate Hike

Peak Prosperity’s Chris Martenson interviews Daniel Amerman who sees the Federal Reserve announcement as another confirmation of continued financial repression to control the burden of debt & allow a transfer of wealth from savers to the government .. “I just read the statement from the Federal Reserve and what they clearly showed was this was not normal. And, one of the clear ways that they showed it is that they made crystal clear that they would be keeping their current holdings of U.S. government and agency debt in roughly the 2.4 to 2.5 trillion dollar range . If you want to drive interest rates up, you want to tighten the system and you might remove money from the system let’s say by selling many of those assets. And, they’ve made clear on the front end that they’re not doing that .. What governments typically do, their most popular choice when they get deeply into debt is they increase their control over the markets so they knock out the interest rate risk for themselves, they push rates way down as they’ve done to historical lows. There’s more to it than that (we’d need another full hour more to talk about financial repression), but basically, they transfer wealth from savers to the government in the process of paying down the debt, in a process that most people don’t understand.”

Disclaimer: The views or opinions expressed in this blog post may or may not be representative of the views or opinions of the Financial Repression Authority.


11/19/2015 - FRA’s Gordon T Long Is Interviewed By Dan Popescu On Financial Repression

Discussion between Dan Popescu & Gordon T Long .. Financial repression & interest rates .. Deflation, inflation or hyperinflation .. The currency wars and the dollar: up or down? .. Gold & Silver: an insurance policy .. Banning cash & the cashless society .. China gold, yuan & the SDR .. 25 minutes

LINK HERE to the French version of this

 

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Disclaimer: The views or opinions expressed in this blog post may or may not be representative of the views or opinions of the Financial Repression Authority.


11/01/2015 - Financial Repression – The Unintended Consequences

“Financial repression is not a conspiracy theory, it is rather a collective set of macroprudential policies focused on controlling and reducing excessive government debt through 4 pillars – negative interest rates, inflation, ring-fencing regulations and obfuscation – to effectively transfer purchasing power from private savings.” – The Financial Repression Authority

LINK HERE to our Article

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Disclaimer: The views or opinions expressed in this blog post may or may not be representative of the views or opinions of the Financial Repression Authority.


11/01/2015 - The Era of Financial Repression: Norway’s Sovereign Wealth Fund says Monetary Policy is a Risk to Watch

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“Monetary policy does affect pricing in today’s market to such an extent that monetary policy itself has been a risk you have to watch .. Investors are focused more on monetary policy changes than has been generally the case, than at any time, as far as I can remember .. As anything that moves prices is a risk that has to be monitored, here the effects of monetary policy affect prices dramatically .. It’s of course always been the case with long rates, and now more significantly with the currency. That’s just a fact of the current market.”

– Yngve Slyngstad, chief executive officer of Norway’s $890 billion sovereign-wealth fund

LINK HERE to the Article

“Financial repression is not a conspiracy theory, it is rather a collective set of macroprudential policies focused on controlling and reducing excessive government debt through 4 pillars – negative interest rates, inflation, ring-fencing regulations and obfuscation – to effectively transfer purchasing power from private savings.” – The Financial Repression Authority

Disclaimer: The views or opinions expressed in this blog post may or may not be representative of the views or opinions of the Financial Repression Authority.


06/27/2015 - Entire Discussion Now Available for FREE – Real Vision TV – THE RESET Watch Raoul Pal & Grant Williams Talk Financial Repression

Global Macro Investor’s Raoul Pal and Vulpes Investment Management’s Grant Williams discuss essentially what we have classified as the 4 pillars of financial repression: repressed interest rates, forced inflation, obfuscation and ring-fencing regulations. The terms they use are a bit different, but the basic concepts are the same.

They discuss the systemic risks to the financial system including the loss of faith in money itself. They explain how massive money printing has distorted financial markets and prices worldwide, especially through the suppression of bond yields by central bank policies.

They also discuss their suggested solutions to investing in this environment – physical gold held outside of the financial system, cryptocurrencies, assets held outside of the concentration of risk in the financial system, investments in the monsoon regions of the world.

This is a fascinating must-watch discussion which will help you understand what is currently happening in the financial markets, the banking system, the investment world and the global economy.

LINK HERE to the Podcast

If you want to subscribe within the podcast – Apply Our Discount Code – we are partnered with Real Vision TV and we offer the maximum discount you can get anywhere .. Our Discount Code is as follows:   FRA-RV

Real Vision TV

FREE REALVISIONTV PROGRAM SHOW DISCUSSION BETWEEN RAOUL PAL AND GRANT WILLIAMS ON FINANCIAL REPRESSION – NOW AVAILABLE AT NO COST – SIMPLY CLICK THE PODCAST LINK BELOW.

CLICK HERE Subscribe to REAL VISION TV at the lowest possible price: Real Vision was launched to combat the dumbed-down approach to finance in traditional media. It is the world’s first on-demand video channel for finance and our driving ambition is to deliver the highest quality economic, financial, and geopolitical content available. This obsession affords us access to the world’s finest financial minds. Want to see it? See THE RESET by linking here.

If you want to subscribe – Apply Our Discount Code – we are partnered with Real Vision TV and we offer the maximum discount you can get anywhere .. Our Discount Code is as follows:  FRA-RV 

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Disclaimer: The views or opinions expressed in this blog post may or may not be representative of the views or opinions of the Financial Repression Authority.


06/21/2015 - Paul Brodsky Talks Financial Repression

Special Guest: Paul Brodsky – Investment Strategist, Wall Street Veteran

 

Paul Brodsky introduced himself as a presenter at the Park Plaza Hotel (NYC, NY) to 200 of the world’s largest Institutional Investors from large Sovereign Wealth Funds, Pensions Funds, Endowments and Foundations …. “I’m Paul Brodsky, I’m a Gold Bug!” This not only took guts but serious credibility in front of an audience that doesn’t consider gold in their portfolio allocation decisions. So why would he do this?

Paul had been asked to present the “Case for Gold”. It was 2010 and Gold had just had a run. Though Gold had been the elephant in the room for previous 9 years , Paul surmised the organizers simply felt gold needed some sort of obligatory representation. His presentation focused on the Global Monetary System and sheepishly admits he actually never mentioned the world Gold again! This summarizes the thinking within the community of Global Managers of serious money.

Paul says he felt he got the invitation because of the thrust and struggle of QB Asset Management, the hedge fund he co-founded. It showed in Paul’s writings to QB’s clients while seeking the truth. He sought an understanding of Price and Value (which are often quite different) in addition to Alpha generation for clients.

FINANCIAL REPRESSION

“Its easy to think there is a grand conspiracy out there is terms of the banking system, the policy makers and politicians in the political dimension. It is very easy to draw lines between all these groups connecting them. I think what we have is a natural set of incentives that are drawn together by how the system works. For example, Politicians usually like to spend money they don’t have and the banking system can let them do that! So it is a very symbiotic relationship – one feeds the other – there is little need that a word be said! There is no back room, smoke filled discussions going on.”

“After the 1971 Nixon Shock, for the first time ever we had a global monetary system where there wasn’t one currency that was ‘hard’ – that is, backed by anything scarce. What that did was make everything relative. It made currencies relative and it made financial assets relative. Ultimately it made performance relative!”

“When everything becomes relative it makes thing very easy for authorities to manage the system because there is no governor on them to bring things back into balance!”

“What was once “the role of the Fed to take away the punch bowl when the party got going”, it was now the Fed that was ‘spiking’ the punch bowl.”

FRACTIONAL RESERVE BANKING

“The system as it is constructed using fractional reserve lending and fractional reserve banking is the real ‘bugaboo’!” Paul is quick to point out there are two sides to this argument. “Yes, the hard money crowd is correct – it has allowed us to spend money beyond what may be considered sound, but also this “funny money” for example helped defeat communism and helped fund the dotcom frenzy which left a technology footprint that may not have occurred as quickly without it.”

“It has been a terrible flowering of baseless credit, debt that has never been extinguished. It may all come down in a Minsky like debt deflation that is ugly – or it may force the Fed and other central banks around the world to create much more base money through QE and other lines of credit that diminishes the value of not only our currency but all others – that gets us back again to relative value and performance!”

“The central banks are devaluing their currencies and devaluing against themselves in a ‘tag team’ manner. They are also devaluing against Production. There used to be only four ways you could get a dollar. You could produce something, you could borrow it, you could reinvest what you had already earned or you could steal it. Now banks can make money out of thin air without any discipline. There is nothing on the other side. Debt is created through the loan process and it never has to be extinquished if the monetary authority doesn’t demand that.”

“We have gone through this great leveraging over the last 35 years. It has been encouraged by Monetary Authorities in the US and elsewhere. Now we are at zero interest rates we can’t refinance ourselves to another round of leveraging. We have to find a new outlet for credit or there is going to be some sort of reconciliation. When you ask about Financial Repression, I think it has been forced on Monetary Authorities (though its their own doing). It had to happen. It is a consequence of the past 35 years.”

“I think they are boxed, as is everyone else (like the IMF) that is involved”

WHO IS GOING TO STAND UP TO THIS?

“It is also in China and Russia’s interest to have a baseless currency and even fractional reserve banks. What it does is centralize power to decide what wealth looks like in their nations and economies.”

“My sense is we have to accept that this is the reality. That for the first time ever …. I think there is going to be increasing coordination amongst all sorts of Monetary Authorities and the net loser is going to be the saver or pensioner in real terms. It is not necessarily a negative on equities, real estate or anything that relies on credit. It may be bullish on nominal pricing but bearish on real pricing and value. That is what Financial Repression is bring us.”

…. there is much, much more in this broad ranging 46 minute interview with a very thoughtful and experienced Wall Street insider telling it the way it really is:

  • Why the death of the infamous Bond Vigilantes occurred and how they got trampled by the Fed,
  • Why we have had a slow migration from Capital producing economies to Credit producing economies or Financialism,
  • Why a policy of unsound money has allowed China and Russia to transition to modern societies without becoming militaristic,
  • Why the global over supply is driving pricing pressures and deflation,
  • The eermergence of China’s new private mercantilism system,
  • The political dimension of the $555T global SWAPS market exposure.

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Disclaimer: The views or opinions expressed in this blog post may or may not be representative of the views or opinions of the Financial Repression Authority.


06/20/2015 - How Financial Repression is Making it Difficult to Retire


Charles Hugh Smith & Gordon T Long discuss the unsustainability of pension funds for U.S. public employees, the challenges of ordinary retirees to be able to retire given the financial repression on interest rates & low yields .. while everyone is beginning to agree that most people will not be able to retire, but must keep working, many do not realize that there are already “means-testing” in place for the U.S. social security benefits because if you & your spouse keep working & make at least $44,000 per year, your U.S. social security retirement benefits will be reduced by 85%! .. 26 minutes

Disclaimer: The views or opinions expressed in this blog post may or may not be representative of the views or opinions of the Financial Repression Authority.


06/19/2015 - Financial Repression Obfuscation: Measuring Inflation

Wall St For Main St interviews financial expert Ed Butowsky created the Chapwood Inflation Index to better accurately measure inflation in the U.S. compared to the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Consumer Price Index (CPI) .. discussion on the problems with the CPI and why it no longer measures inflation accurately .. an example of obfuscation – one of the pillars of financial repression  .. 29 minutes

Ed Butowsky: Double Digit Annual Inflation In Many US Cities

Disclaimer: The views or opinions expressed in this blog post may or may not be representative of the views or opinions of the Financial Repression Authority.


06/15/2015 - Swiss Re Meeting: “Sounding the Alarm on Financial Repression”

Swiss Re video highlights the recent meeting they held with experts voicing concerns about the ongoing use of unconventional policies .. financial repression is causing financial market distortions & poses a serious risk to financial stability .. These unconventional policies have pushed institutional investors into holding government debt. As a result they have less money available for productive investment, such as infrastructure projects .. “It means that there’s a global search for yield. That possibly leads to a misallocation of resources,” says Douglas Flint, Group Chairman of HSBC .. Jean-Claude Trichet, Chairman of the Group of Thirty affirms the risks.swissrevideo

Disclaimer: The views or opinions expressed in this blog post may or may not be representative of the views or opinions of the Financial Repression Authority.


06/14/2015 - Financial Repression: The War on Cash will Accelerate in the next 6 Months

Greg Hunter interviews Gordon T Long .. “We have run out of runway, but never underestimate the ingenuity of a trapped politician and central bankers to come out with new policies and new ways to extend this. We are going to see some pretty violent volatility and corrections. We are going to be in there guaranteeing collateral because our issue is . . . there is a shortage of collateral. The Fed sucked all of the bonds out of the market. There is a shortage of them. So, we have a major liquidity problem. That’s the runway we are running out of, and flows are starting to slow dramatically. Now, that says it’s getting unstable, but that doesn’t mean the world is coming to an end. It does mean we are going to do something else, and one of those things is negative nominal rates and cashless society. That’s the reason why we are going to have a cashless society. You are going to see this (cashless society idea) accelerate in the next six months.” .. 30 minutes

 

Disclaimer: The views or opinions expressed in this blog post may or may not be representative of the views or opinions of the Financial Repression Authority.


05/17/2015 - One of the 4 Pillars of Financial Repression: Data Obfuscation

Dr Pippa Malmgren, a former U.S. Plunge Protection Team member, explains how governments fudge price inflation numbers .. It’s one of the pillars of financial repression – obfuscation.

Disclaimer: The views or opinions expressed in this blog post may or may not be representative of the views or opinions of the Financial Repression Authority.