Blog
09/29/2023 - The Roundtable Insight – Jay Martin on Investing in Commodities
09/29/2023 - The Roundtable Insight – Charles Hugh Smith on How Regulatory Capture is a Net Negative to Society
Download the podcast in mp3 voice format – Link Here to Download
Also the referenced podcast by Bill Gurley of Benchmark – Link Here to Watch
09/20/2023 - The Roundtable Insight – Louis-Vincent Gave, Prof. Michael Pettis and Yra Harris on China and the Global Economy
09/18/2023 - Joseph Wang – Potential for March 2020 Liquidity Event Rising
“The potential for a replay of a March 2020 liquidity event in markets is on the rise as the rate of growth of debt continues to far exceed growth in the market’s capacity to provide liquidity.”
Full article is available on Joseph Wang’s Substack
09/15/2023 - Argentina’s next President could be Javier Milei, Austrian School Economist – Libertarian
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Oxt2MzaVFOIClick here to view Interview on Twitter
Here are some podcasts we have done with Javier Milei:
09/10/2023 - Marko Papic: «China Has to Convince Financial Markets that It Is not Suicidal»
«China Has to Convince Financial Markets that It Is not Suicidal»
Marko Papic, Partner and Chief Strategist at Clocktower Group, talks about the solution to China’s economic weakness, the Fed leadership’s concerns, and his arguments why the commodity supercycle is far from over.
09/01/2023 - The Roundtable Insight Vision Series – Charles Hugh Smith on Democratic and Governing Systems
08/29/2023 - Group Meeting with Jefferies Global Strategist Chris Wood
08/22/2023 - The Roundtable Insight – Danielle DiMartino Booth and Yra Harris on Interest Rates, Inflation and U.S. Banks Challenges
07/28/2023 - The Roundtable Insight Vision Series – Charles Hugh Smith on Currencies and Financial Repression
07/28/2023 - The Roundtable Insight – Sustainability in Sports
07/25/2023 - The Roundtable Insight – Judd Hirschberg Analyzes the Financial Markets
07/18/2023 - Marko Papić: «Everything Is in Place for a Capex-Driven Commodity Super-Cycle»
“There are two countries producing nickel: Indonesia or Russia. That’s basically it. And Indonesia has already telegraphed its intention. They banned the export of raw, unrefined nickel and forced China to invest $20 billion worth of infrastructure to move its nickel production to Indonesia. Next, they’re going to ban the export of refined nickel as well, so other countries have to build their battery factories in Indonesia. And then, they’re going to wait another couple of years and ban the export of batteries, so the manufacturing of EVs has to take place in Indonesia too. That’s why I’m super bullish on Indonesia, they know what they’re doing. ”
07/18/2023 - Yra Harris: So Many Piles of Dry Tinder
“Why is the Swiss franc so strong against the dollar, as well as many other currencies? The current dollar/Swiss rate is challenging the January 12, 2015 weekly close of 0.8588, which was the week the SNB pulled the floor out from under the Eur/Chf cross, sending the Swiss franc soaring as the market had been heavily short FRANCS.
07/13/2023 - The Roundtable Insight – Daniel Lacalle and Yra Harris on Interest Rates, Policies, Inflation and Commodities
07/13/2023 - The Roundtable Insight – Katie Stockton, Peter Boockvar and Yra Harris on Converging Technical and Fundamental Analysis of the Markets
Download the Podcast in MP3 – but suggest video to see the charts
07/07/2023 - The Roundtable Insight – Rafi Farber and Yra Harris on the Economy and the Financial Markets
06/30/2023 - Larry McDonald: «Value over Growth is the Trade for the Second Half of 2023»
“Larry McDonald, creator of «The Bear Traps Report» and New York Times best-selling author, thinks inflation will remain much more stubborn than investors currently hope. He explains why he spots the best opportunities in attractively valued energy, metals and mining, and emerging markets stocks.”
06/26/2023 - U.S. Losing Its Key Export Markets
Mish Shedlock:
“United States Top 10 Exports
- [Petroleum Products] Mineral fuels including oil: US$378.6 billion (18.4% of total exports)
- Machinery including computers: $229.6 billion (11.1%)
- Electrical machinery, equipment: $197.7 billion (9.6%)
- Vehicles: $134.9 billion (6.5%)
- Aircraft, spacecraft: $102.8 billion (5%)
- Optical, technical, medical apparatus: $99.1 billion (4.8%)
- Gems, precious metals: $92.5 billion (4.5%)
- Pharmaceuticals: $83.5 billion (4%)
- Plastics, plastic articles: $83.3 billion (4%)
- Organic chemicals: $51.1 billion (2.5%)
The above list represents 2022, from United States Top 10 Exports
Biden Policy Impact
- Biden energy policies would kill #1, and curtail # 9 and #10.
- Bidens restrictions on sensitive machinery and chips will reduce #2, #3, #5, and #6 exports to China and Russia.
China itself seeks to curtail #4 and #5. What remains are gems, precious metals, and pharmaceuticals.
I am surprised grain exports are not in the top 10. But as Biden has riled China on a number of fronts, it has increasingly turned to Brazil.”