01/27/2016 - Investing Techniques In Financial Repression: Profiting When Stock Markets Fall

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With increasing signs of a global recession, stock markets throughout the world have experienced one of the worst annual starts in history.

Many investors fear 2016 will bring another stock market downturn similar to 2000 and 2008. While investors can protect themselves by selling equities or even shorting the stock market, both of these approaches involve potential problems. An options strategy offers a third alternative with the potential for sizeable profits.

WindRock interviews Ed Walczak, Senior Portfolio Manager of the Catalyst Hedged Futures Fund, about the use of an S&P 500 options strategy.

LINK HERE to the podcast

LINK HERE for more information on WindRock

Disclaimer: The views or opinions expressed in this blog post may or may not be representative of the views or opinions of the Financial Repression Authority.


01/26/2016 - PwC: Financial Repression Of Savers and Retirees In The New Normal

With bond yields going lower, PwC’s Andrew Sentance discusses financial repression & its unintended consequences to savers & retirees .. 4 minutes

Disclaimer: The views or opinions expressed in this blog post may or may not be representative of the views or opinions of the Financial Repression Authority.


01/24/2016 - Your Gold Is Only As Good As Where You Store It

International Man’s Jeff Thomas advises the following principle: “Keep your bullion in a place where you maximize your control over your ownership of it, whilst minimizing the control others (such as banks and governments) have over it.” .. mentions the coming cash controls by indebted governments – these developments may affect where you store your gold, it’s financial repression .. identifies many investors are moving into real estate & precious metals for protection .. points to what Sprott is doing – offering services to store precious metals in “safer jurisdictions” like Switzerland, Singapore & the Cayman Islands.

LINK HERE to the essay

Disclaimer: The views or opinions expressed in this blog post may or may not be representative of the views or opinions of the Financial Repression Authority.


01/24/2016 - Norway Joins In On The Worldwide War On Cash

Norway now appears to be joining in on the worldwide war on cash .. with estimates of only 6% of Norwegians using cash on a daily basis & with many of those being elderly people, Norway’s Ministry of Finance is opposed for now to the proposal .. nonetheless in the meantime, the big 2 banks in Norway have already stopped using cash in their branch offices. And the movement toward a goal of no cash has been going on for a while. The Norwegian Hospitality Association pushed to eliminate consumers’ right to pay cash at all stores & restaurants in 2013 .. many have emphasizes the trend is a big move away from privacy, with the government (state) now increasingly knowing what, how, when & perhaps even why you spend your money on ..  Zero Hedge: “If allowed to continue, state wealth control will exist. And thus, as we concluded previously, if you can’t withdraw your money as cash, you have two choices: You can deal with negative interest rates…or you can spend your money. Ultimately, that’s what our Keynesian central planners want. They are using negative interest rates and the War on Cash to force you to spend and ‘stimulate’ the economy. If you ask us, these radical and insane measures are a sign of desperation. The War on Cash and negative interest rates are huge threats to your financial security. Central planners are playing with fire and inviting a currency catastrophe.”

link here to the article

link here to commentary

Disclaimer: The views or opinions expressed in this blog post may or may not be representative of the views or opinions of the Financial Repression Authority.


01/22/2016 - YRA HARRIS: “There is No Wizard Behind the Curtain!”

FRA Co-Founder Gordon T. Long discusses with Global Macro CME Floor Trader Yra Harris, the difficulties of investing in the currently suppressed global market. Yra has been a member of the CME since 1977 and is a well-known global macro trader. Yra currently works with Vine Street trading.

YIELD CURVE

Yra distinguishes the 5/30 UST as much more of speculators curve, and the 2/10 UST, an investors curve, meaning people with a longer term horizon.

Regarding the flattening of the yield curve line: Yra references Paul Samuelson saying the stock marketing having predicted the past 9 of the 5 recessions, however the same cannot be said for the yield curve.

“When the yield curve starts to flatten, to ultimately invert, trouble looms”.

Yra believes that central banks eventually error one way or another, and ultimately cause the curve to flatten.

2016 PREDICTIONS

The market anticipates slowing growth, if not negative growth resulting in recession. The last time this was seen was 2006-2007. When the Fed was raising rates, driving the rate to 5.5% on the federal fund rate, the yield curve was flattening, and within 6-9 months later, the curve had inverted.

Yra combats the notion that the yield curve is a bad indicator by saying, “It is only a bad indicator because I cannot time for you, what the market’s reaction to it will be”

Yra mentions Stanley fisher saying that going to negative yields in the United states would be very difficult because of their money market funds.

“If the Federal Reserve of the United states went to negative yields it would be a catastrophic statement that they had panicked, indicating they have nothing left.”

Yra brings up Stanley Fisher saying the four rate increases are a probability.

“I’m going to watch what the metals market is doing. If the gold rallies while the curve flattens, it will be telling me that the market is getting fearful…meaning the central banks are losing control”

“The optimal control function is a myth. Economic analysis is not rocket science. Good science is the ability to continuously replicate an experiment and get the same results, this is not the case.”

Yra believes that central banks are not concerned about inflation, because banks have learned they can slay inflation, by raising rates high enough to stop it, which will and has caused the yield curve to invert in the past. Systems built on borrowing, such as China, would rather endure periods of inflation than deflation, deflation is 30% unemployment, everything stops. “run inflation hotter, because that’s the greatest thing to remove the overhang of debt”

“If you can’t restructure, and if you can’t write it off, because you’re worried about the banks, you have to create some inflation, and their fear is that they’ve been unable to.”

GEO POLITICAL TENSION — OIL & CHINESE MARKETS

Demand is contracting because the world economies are slowing down. The Saudis have built their structure based on that they felt comfortable that the United States and the six fleet would always be there to support them.

“Saudis are sending a message that they’re upset with the United states about a shift of policy, as they see it. We are at a critical junction, and I think oil is all part of it. All of a sudden the Saudis are going to do an IPO of Aramco, which will bring significant implications, they’ve never gone that route, why now?”

There is word that they’re short of capital, however it’s cheaper to raise capital in an equity capital than a bond market. Saudi reserves are not the collateral for those bonds. This is all tied into the price of crude oil.

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“China is a great story, from an academic sense, but from a market sense I don’t trust anything that I read out of China”

Yra’s tongue and cheek example is Google not being allowed to be used freely, restricting the free flow of information.

“It’s amazing to me that this country, that does not allow free flow of information and data, can meet market projections at so many of their data releases. I don’t trust the (Chinese) data enough to trade.”

One thing that has always scared the Chinese authorities is losing control of the employment situation. Michael Pettis has talked about how the Chinese leadership has financially repressed the middle class, because they’ve kept the Yuan too cheap in order to build a vast pool of reserves. When a country wants to buy imports, they have to pay a greater price but the goal was to drive the export engine. When trying to make the shift from export oriented to a more domestic oriented economy, then a stronger Yuan is more desirable, which would make for cheaper imports.  Yra states,

“If you’re really trying to empower your citizenry, let the currency go higher.”

“China is still a totalitarian government, and they can inspire fear, which is what a totalitarian regime operates on”

THE FOCUS FOR INVESTORS

“We don’t have the play out of fundamentals that we used to. They will eventually play out because fundamentals will ultimately drive the market, they have to.”

Yra says that the equity markets are so linked and tell a global story, but believes that linkage is a false correlation.

“Monetary policy and financial acumen is still not rocket science” – It brings with it much uncertainty.

 

Disclaimer: The views or opinions expressed in this blog post may or may not be representative of the views or opinions of the Financial Repression Authority.


01/22/2016 - Financial Repression In Canada

Article emphasizes how Canada’s deepening recession is likely to prompt the Bank of Canada (BoC) to go down into negative interest rates like parts of Europe are already .. the BOC has already hinted that Europe’s not-so-grand experiment in the Keynesian Twilight Zone known as NIRP (negative interest rate policy) may be about to cross the pond – “The effective lower bound for policy rates is around -0.5%,” central bank governor Stephen Poloz said in December, setting the stage for negative rates in Canada .. IceCap Asset Management sees the following scenario:
1. Canadian economy to be in recession in 2016
2. Bank of Canada will be at 0% interest rates in 2016
3. Bank of Canada will be at NEGATIVE interest rates in later 2016
4. Bank of Canada will be PRINTING MONEY in later 2016
Barclays says: “The BoC would need to cut at least 50bp this year to partially counteract the continued slide in crude oil prices .. the BoC would need to cut policy rates by at least 50bp in 2016.” .. The BoC itself estimates that the effective lower bound for Canada could be around -50bp, giving room for further cuts if needed.

link here to the article

Disclaimer: The views or opinions expressed in this blog post may or may not be representative of the views or opinions of the Financial Repression Authority.


01/22/2016 - China Accelerates The War On Cash

The central bank of China is targeting an early rollout of China’s own digital currency to boost its control of money in the country .. this is another development in the worldwide war on cash – how governments are limiting the use of cash or abolishing it outright .. it’s all about capital controls & financial repression .. governments are now anticipating bank bailins & negative interest rates, & by limiting or abolishing cash, this will minimize or prevent the possibility of bank depositors from withdrawing their cash from their bank ahead of or during a bank bailin .. People’s Bank of China statement: “To enhance the central bank’s money supply and currency in circulation control.” .. Zero Hedge commentary: “There are three enormous flaws with the war on cash: “One is that households and businesses have cash to hoard. The reality is the bottom 90% of households have less income now than they did fifteen years ago, which means their spending has declined not from hoarding but from declining income .. The second flaw is that hoarding cash is the only rational, prudent response in an era of financial repression and economic insecurity. What central banks are demanding — that we spend every penny of our earnings rather than save some for investments we control or emergencies — is counter to our best interests. This leads to the third flaw: capital — which begins its life as savings — is the foundation of capitalism. If you attack savings as a scourge, you are attacking capitalism and upward mobility, for only those who save capital can invest it to build wealth. By attacking cash, the central banks and governments are attacking capital and upward mobility .. When the dust has settled who ultimately benefits by this war on cash – government and the central banks, pure and simple.”

link here to the article

Disclaimer: The views or opinions expressed in this blog post may or may not be representative of the views or opinions of the Financial Repression Authority.


01/20/2016 - Charles Hugh Smith: The Unintended Consequences Of Financial Repression On Retirees

“On the devastating long-term impact of the Federal Reserve’s zero-interest rate policy (ZIRP): with the real (i.e. adjusted for inflation) return on savings near zero (or even negative, for those who have to pay soaring rents, healthcare insurance premiums, college tuition, etc.), those saving for retirement are losing the Red Queen’s Race: no matter how much they save, the income will be too paltry to support retirement. This has three extremely negative consequences. Those seeking a return above zero are forced to put their savings at risk in boom-and-bust markets that tend to reward only those who get into the bubble expansion early and exit early. These boom-and-bust markets tend to savage the assets of the middle class when they blow up, but do little to rebuild these assets in the bubble expansion phase, as prudent investors who were burned in the previous bubble bust shun risk assets. The second negative consequence is the structural pressure on spending as those saving for retirement must sacrifice current spending to pile up capital to spend during retirement. No wonder the velocity of money is in free-fall–everyone hoping to retire on more than cat food has to set aside more of their earnings because they cannot count on any future earnings on capital. The third consequence is the destruction of middle class retirement. When a $500,000 nestegg earns a miserable $15,000 a year (3% annual yield), saving enough to generate a middle class income in retirement is beyond the reach of what’s left of the middle class.”

LINK HERE to the article

Is It Possible To Retire If You Have Little Or No Savings? LINK HERE to FRA’s Retirement Solutions

Disclaimer: The views or opinions expressed in this blog post may or may not be representative of the views or opinions of the Financial Repression Authority.


01/18/2016 - Increasing Trend – CNBC Talks Retiring Overseas

According to a CNBC report:

“Retiring overseas is becoming increasingly common: Some 373,224 retired workers received Social Security checks overseas in 2013, the latest data available, up from 306,906 in 2008 and 246,890 in 2003.”

  LOCK IN YOUR LIVING ACCOMMODATIONS NOW

“Today, soon-to-be retirees have more reason than ever to think that dream can become reality, thanks to the strong dollar. As of January 15, $100 would buy 92 euros, up from 83 euros at the beginning of 2015. That same dollar amount would now buy roughly 1,827 Mexican pesos, compared to 1,474 on Jan. 1, 2015. The Colombian peso is up roughly 33 percent from a year earlier.

All of that means buying a home or any other assets overseas is easier than it has been in some time, said Kathleen Peddicord, publisher of “Live and Invest Overseas.”

“If you have a fixed income in U.S. dollars, right now the U.S. dollar is super strong,” she said. “What I recommend as a strategy is, find a place you want to live where the dollar is very strong right now, and buy your residence. Once you do that, buying at today’s strong dollar value, you can buy at a good price and you have taken the cost of housing off the table.”

BARRIERS COMING DOWN

Previously issues like health coverage may have been an issue but today “In some countries the care is extremely inexpensive and high quality. In others, you may want to obtain global health insurance from a company like Bupa or Cigna.” 

Is It Possible To Retire If You Have Little Or No Savings? LINK HERE to FRA’s Retirement Solutions

Disclaimer: The views or opinions expressed in this blog post may or may not be representative of the views or opinions of the Financial Repression Authority.


01/17/2016 - 2016 Outlook – James Turk, Alasdair Macleod, John Butler; Financial Repression Is Intensifying

Discussion on the year ahead .. negative interest rates potential for the U.S.$ – unintended consequences .. the risks of capital controls .. malinvestments from ZIRP & massive money printing .. the importance of investment in real assets as stores of value .. how financial repression is intensifying  .. 48 minutes

Disclaimer: The views or opinions expressed in this blog post may or may not be representative of the views or opinions of the Financial Repression Authority.


01/15/2016 - Gordon T Long: If You Think QE Was an Experiment, You Haven’t Seen Anything Yet!

Key points & quotes on an interview with Financial Sense ..  he sees a “a peak in the credit cycle” & thinks the Federal Reserve may have to reverse course this year in light of a potential liquidity crisis .. “There’s concern (and you’re seeing it in the market from those who understand what’s going on)… that because we have so much collateral pledged to support debt and credit right now that when that collateral falls in price as we’re seeing in oil and commodities, you get margin calls and if you don’t have the liquidity you’re caught and you’re caught in a serious problem.”  .. identifies 1820 on the S&P 500 stock market index as the point when central banks will react with new policies – which will cause more adverse risks to investors, savers & retirees from the unintended consequences of financial repression ..  “We are going to see negative interest rates potentially…we already have $5 trillion in bonds around the globe trading negative…there are all sorts of things that the central banks could do other than just interest rates and they will do them when the collateral is in jeopardy because it will bring down the entire system.” .. emphasizes how the burdens of debt, the challenges of meeting unfunded pension liabilities & reviving the economy are not just about the U.S. – it’s the same problem in the UK, Europe & Japan .. “The Fed is boxed in—they are trapped right now…they can’t raise rates. We might be able to raise another half (of a percent with) two more twenty-five basis point increases possibly but I think personally a recession is looming… the global slowdown is serious and significant and it’s washing ashore very quickly in America.”

LINK HERE to the article

EXCLUSIVE TO FRA – LINK HERE to the entire podcast – permission granted by Financial Sense to make the whole podcast available to our readers

LINK HERE to Financial Sense’s podcast service

Disclaimer: The views or opinions expressed in this blog post may or may not be representative of the views or opinions of the Financial Repression Authority.


01/15/2016 - Tim Price: “Today’s Mad Scientist Central Bankers Have Engineered Financial Dinosaurs Back Into Our Time”

“Nothing is risk-free in this system of chaos. And there is no longer any easy solution to safely grow or preserve your capital. Risk is now everywhere. If you invest in the markets, there is risk of temporary or permanent loss of capital. Even if you do nothing and simply hold cash in a bank, there is bail-in risk and financial repression. This is our reality now… the consequence of a financial system that’s at least a century old. In a way, today’s mad scientist central bankers have engineered financial dinosaurs back into our time. They think they can control the system.”

link here to the article

Disclaimer: The views or opinions expressed in this blog post may or may not be representative of the views or opinions of the Financial Repression Authority.


01/14/2016 - Did You Know Banks Can Take Your Money In A Banking Crisis?

When the next financial crisis comes – the big banks could save themselves by confiscating your money right out of your checking account. Banking expert Ellen Brown, Public Banking Institute/Web of Debt/The Public Bank Solution explains how in Conversations with Great Minds. .. it’s financial repression .. 13 minutes

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eSRPvMxIAb0

Disclaimer: The views or opinions expressed in this blog post may or may not be representative of the views or opinions of the Financial Repression Authority.


01/12/2016 - Unintended Consequences Of Negative Interest Rates: Receive Payment As Late As Possible To Avoid Negative Interest Rates!

A government agency in Zug Switzerland wants to be paid as late as possible to avoid having to pay negative interest rates on the payments it receives .. Mish Shedlock*: “I will gladly receive on Tuesday what you may wish to pay today. Is a fine for bill prepayment the next logical step? Think about that for a second. Rather than getting individuals and corporations to spend (the desired central bank action), negative interest rates (not yet tried at the consumer level) just might get everyone to pay their bills early. Going one step further, if lending rates are low enough, people could borrow money at negative rates and park it under their mattress or in safe deposit boxes and make money by borrowing. Please take the money! Just promise to pay me back whenever. More realistically, negative interest rates on consumer deposits will cause a run on the banks.”

LINK HERE to the commentary

 

Disclaimer: The views or opinions expressed in this blog post may or may not be representative of the views or opinions of the Financial Repression Authority.


01/11/2016 - John Mauldin: The Federal Reserve Will Launch QE4 Upon The Next U.S. Recession – Causing Again Financial Repression Malinvestment

“When we next have a recession in the US, the Federal Reserve will give us QE 4. They are going to base their monetary policy on the data they have at the time, even though all their own research says that the last round of QE really didn’t do anything. They will once again push us into a world of financial repression malinvestment because they will feel the need to ‘do something,’ and about the only thing they will be able to come up with is more quantitative easing. Which will force the world into yet another mutually destructive round of competitive currency devaluations. The image that springs to mind is that of a circular firing squad, with the participants being the world’s major central banks, some of which actually do have bazookas. As usual, the investors of the world will be caught in no-man’s land .. There is a significant part of me that now feels, or perhaps fears is the better word, that the Fed will embark upon an experiment with negative interest rates in the world’s reserve currency.”

LINK HERE to the report

Click “Mauldin January 10” to download Mauldin’s letter (may need to provide your email address), or hit “View Fullscreen” at the bottom next to the Scribd logo to enlarge viewing .. John Mauldin, Best-Selling author and recognized financial expert, is also editor of the free Thoughts From the Frontline that goes to over 1 million readers each week. For more information on John or his FREE weekly economic letter go to: http://www.frontlinethoughts.com/

Disclaimer: The views or opinions expressed in this blog post may or may not be representative of the views or opinions of the Financial Repression Authority.


01/11/2016 - Mish Shedlock on Bank Bailins In Europe

“What is causing bank depositors to flee their banks in the first place? The answer is fear of bail-ins, confiscations, capital controls, and bank failures like we have seen in Greece and Cyprus. Recent examples include Portugal and Italy. These bail-ins are causing jitters. Can you trust Spanish banks? Italian banks? French banks? Greek banks? .. Depositors increasingly say no. And the recipient banks in Germany, Netherlands etc, don’t want to risk bonds in those countries when the deposits are transferred .. Do you think German banks are safe? If so, you are badly mistaken .. If Spain, Italy, Greece, or any country leaves the eurozone, someone will have to eat those imbalances .. How would the ECB would allocate those losses? Government, depositors, or bondholders will be bailed-in directly. Alternatively, the ECB will violate the Maastricht treaty and print the money to cover the losses. In that case, the euro will take a hit. Nothing in Europe is safe!”

LINK HERE to the article

 

Disclaimer: The views or opinions expressed in this blog post may or may not be representative of the views or opinions of the Financial Repression Authority.


01/07/2016 - THE ‘CRISIS OF TRUST’ SIGNALS A ‘FAILURE OF LEADERSHIP’

Recent research released by both the Pew Research Center and Gallup  warn of an accelerating erosion in confidence in our government, politicians and the political process. It is clear to most that we have a growing “Crisis of Trust” which is signaling a “Failure of Leadership” as governments steadily exert increasing power and authority over our lives!

FOUR YEARS AGO WE BECAME SERIOUSLY ALARMED!

In the fall of 2012 having become seriously alarmed, we wrote our annual thesis paper entitled “STATISM” and laid out the frightening direction of US political leadership. We had initially hoped it was a cyclical pattern which had reached a cyclical bottom.

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WE FOCUSED, MAPPED & TRACKED IT

Our subsequent research efforts have resulted in a large supporting  video library of expert guest interviews at Macro Analytics  embellishing on each of the sequentially emerging boxes in the following road-map and additionally the creation of the Financial Repression Authority to understand how our sacred public freedoms were being unwittingly surrendered through financial bondage.

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The detailed research included a focus on the driving linkages between the identified stages as the developed economies (and the US in particular) accelerated towards more centralized government control of almost all facets of our lives.

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WHERE WE FIND OURSELVES TODAY

The facts are overwhelming and indisputable for anyone taking the time (which we did) to do their ‘due diligence’.  Time and space which we don’t have here.

As we now agonizingly watch the US Presidential Primary Campaigns, cognoscente of what we previously witnessed in the UK (Jeremy Corbyn), Italy (Beppo Brillo), France (Marie Le Pen) and a raft of other political hot areas, we see a now unquestionable deteriorating shift. A shift firmly rooted in a Crisis of Trust and a direct result of a Failure of Leadership.

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ONE CRISIS WAY FROM A MONUMENTAL “TOTALITARIAN” MISTAKE

The Financial Repression Authority is presently concerned that a Geo-political event, conflict or crisis could soon  abruptly catapult the developed economies into a mistaken political direction and a deeper cyclical low. A cycle which is presently already on a dangerous trajectory.  Paul Craig Roberts (a former US Assistant Treasury Secretary) just frustratingly penned “The Rule Of Law No Longer Exists In Western Civilization” outlining the seriousness of criminal and immoral actions by the US government. He illustrates that the dictatorial methods  and unlegislated executive orders by the current President to overturn the Second Amendment are now the political leadership ‘order of the day’ and writes: “He (Obama) has the corrupt US Department of Justice, a criminal organization, looking for ways for the dictator to overturn both Congressional legislation and Supreme Court rulings.

CONCLUSION

Paul Craig Roberts  and the Financial Repression Authority (FRA) sadly concludes – “Out of Evil comes Dictatorship

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As the insightful Canadian national anthem warns so well, we must all “Stand on Guard for Thee!”

Never more than today.

Disclaimer: The views or opinions expressed in this blog post may or may not be representative of the views or opinions of the Financial Repression Authority.


01/06/2016 - Depositors Die and Banks Live in Next Financial Calamity

Greg Hunter interviews Ellen Brown who warns that people are more at risk in the U.S. to lose their savings because the 5 biggest banks have nearly $250 trillion in derivatives. In a financial calamity that could cause mass bankruptcies, recent legislation says the derivative holders will be paid first. Brown explains: “The have super priority over everything. . . . All the creditors’ money will be taken in a bail-in. A bail-in is the opposite of a bankruptcy. In a bankruptcy, the bank is liquidated in order to pay off the creditors. In a bail-in, the creditors’ money is taken in order to keep the bank alive. So, we get to die while the bank lives instead of the reverse. They specifically say ‘creditors’ which means shareholders and bond holders, but what most people don’t realize is depositors are also considered creditors. When you put your money in a bank, it becomes the property of the bank, and all you have is an IOU.” .. it’s financial repression .. 24 minutes

Disclaimer: The views or opinions expressed in this blog post may or may not be representative of the views or opinions of the Financial Repression Authority.


01/06/2016 - FRA Predicts Massive Tax Grab Coming in 2016 at All Levels of Government

A MASSIVE ‘TAX GRAB’ MUST BE EXPECTED

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The Financial Repression Authority sees the massive government tax grab already quietly underway accelerating in 2016 in most of the developed economies.

This ‘grab’ will be a desperate political act driven by underfunded, and in a significant number of cases, unfunded public pension which will unfold at all three levels of government, Federal, State and City /Local government. It will be disguised by different focal emphasis and appear to evolve in an uncoordinated manner – but it will occur!

To spot its telltale fingerprints we should expect the following words to become  much more prevalent in the “public narrative” throughout 2016 and to see EACH of these which we explore in this article to increasingly and significantly extract money from taxpayer wallets:

  • Capital Gains Tax,
  • Property Tax
  • Global Wealth Tax (PFIC, FATCA, GATCA),
  • Civil Forfeiture Fines,
  • Means Testing,
  • Licensing Fees,
  • Usage, Tolls & Emergency Services Fees,
  • Inspection Fees,
  • Processing Fees,
  • Fines (Police and Agency)
  • Ticketing,
  • School Activity, Equipment & Supply Fees,
  • Inheritance Tax,
  • Social Security Taxation Rate

The Wealth Effect is believed by the government to have pushed up taxpayer US Household Net Worth  by $30 Trillion or 55% from the Financial Crisis low.

The US government is coming after that money!  They see it as a “Honey Pot” that can’t be resisted.

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The following is how the Financial Repression Authority expects the government to undertake this ‘grab’. However, never under estimate the government’s abilities to come up with new schemes to finance its insatiable largesse.

Let’s start at the bottom of the political machine by examining what City and Local governments are doing and planning and work ourselves up to the head of this gluttonous and uncontrollable monster.

City & Local Taxation – Property Tax, Fees & Fines

City and Local government have massive problems with underfunded Pension obligations. Costs for road and water services which have not received adequate financing are also coming due. Administrative, police, fire and teachers’ salaries are all relentlessly climbing along with generous benefits which have long ago been jettisoned by the private sector.

Unlike the Federal government, city and local government cannot “print money” but must cover their costs by primarily Property Taxes or by issuing more debt in the form of muni bonds. The problems have gotten so bad that cities like Chicago have recently been brought to court for inappropriately using bond issues to pay operating costs associated with meeting public pension obligations versus badly needed infrastructure repair. These desperate actions are symptomatic of the pressures forcing the following actions:

  • PROPERTY TAXES will increase dramatically. Chicago and New Jersey property taxes have reached the point where people are being forced to relocate. Pensioners on fixed income are being forced to take out reverse mortgages to pay property taxes and keep their homes. Residential property taxes in many areas are routinely $15-22,000 on what would be considered the standard home in the area.

Now even a minor violation as reported by our FRA guest Michael Snyder can put a massive hole in your wallet.  For instance, driving as little as 15 miles an hour over the speed limit in Virginia can get you a reckless driving charge that can carry a fine of up to $2500. So why the hefty fines? Well, the law increasing the traffic fines in Virginia clearly admitted why they are so high. “The purpose of the civil remedial fees imposed in this section is to generate revenue.” (Virginia Code 46.2-206.1)”

The Investigative Reporting Program at UC Berkeley with California Watch discovered that impounds at “sobriety” checkpoints in 2009 alone generat01-05-16-Tax_Grab-2ed approximately 40 million dollars in towing fees and police fines. “Red-Light cameras” have become huge revenue raising tools in many areas of the country.  In Los Angeles, revenue from red-light cameras has doubled from $200,000 a month in 2007 to $400,000 a month at the end of 2009.

Expenses are accelerating due to Federal expectations of preparedness for the War on Terror and the epidemic levels of horrific Public Shootings. The police and first responders have an increasing fiduciary responsibility, however the funding is not coming with it.

The Daily Bell (Local Government Larceny) & NY Times ( ‘Black Lives Matter’) recently both explored the link between the need for local municipalities to generate revenue in the face of rising pension fund needs & budgetary pressures, with the increase in numbers of interactions creating frictions & “Ferguson Missouri” type outcomes.

“The intense spotlight placed on Ferguson, Missouri in the last year exposed a small-town government engaged in petty larceny on a grand scale. Duly elected officials supervised a police force that regularly shook down visitors and residents to generate municipal revenue. The area’s demographics ensured the victims were mostly poor and black, but similar official theft occurs in white-majority towns all over the nation .. Local governments all over the U.S. are not nearly as accountable to voters as they want us all to believe. They serve as the training ground for politicians who rise to higher office. That’s why higher levels of government are certainly no better and often much worse. People who run for local offices often start with noble ideals. Their ideals rarely survive once elected. A little power creates a little corruption – and usually leads to more.”

Martin Armstrong reports the extent to which this is now reaching as police are going after teenagers who just want to make some pocket money shoveling snow and it isn’t just an isolated incident.  “The police even in Philadelphia are targeting kids as they are in New Jersey. Many towns demand a license with paperwork and fees of $50+ to be paid to shovel snow!”

  • EMERGENCY SERVICES are on the rise in a major way. An ambulance call to a private residence can easily be $4-5K. These costs are often not covered by medical insurance as they are seen as public services or matters of policy deductibles. The tax payer is caught between the two and the squabble results in crippling costs to the unprepared tax payer.
  • USAGES FEES in schools are nothing new to already financially strapped parents, but worse is to come. Fees for extracurricular activities and equipment has been in place for awhile now but are rising significantly. Parents are forced to take out loans when their young student makes the regional, state or national levels of competition because of the costs the parent are expected to saddle. There is nothing any longer in the school system that is not being billed to the parent for and this will only increase. Parents have no choice.
  • INSPECTION FEES are yet another example of how public services are being billed. From Building inspectors to almost any form of government compliance officer is now billing some or all of their activity to the public. These fees seem like “token amounts’ but are becoming areas of new found revenue. Police, and EMS’  “detail’ availability for construction activity and special events are all now routinely billed to the organizations involved and are becoming major construction expenses. These costs must obviously be passed on and are nothing more than a “stealth taxes” to the unsuspecting public.

The list is much more extensive than we are showing here and would take up too much space to show the forms that “new taxation” techniques are taking. In New England for example many towns are now offering nominal tax rebates for seniors and unemployed who volunteer to do community service work that was previously provided by town workers. Some would suggest this is a tax savings but in reality it is taxpayers doing work for the town for free when previously it was part of their local tax (which has only increased even with the rebate).  Is this not in really just another form of taxation?

State Taxation – Usage Fees, Licenses & Ticketing

The taxation problem only gets worse as government budget shortfalls get worse. Many of the methods used at the City and Local government carry over to the State level (i.e. Ticketing, Inspection and Fines). The States have additional methods:

  • SALES TAX is the purview of state government and it has been increasing in most states. Illinois recently moved the Sales Tax to 6.25% but the real total  can be an extraordinary 9.75%. Illinois is not unique and more states can be expected to soon follow their lead.
  • LICENSING is on the rise for almost anything that involves a government approval. With 88,000 pages of Federal bills in 2015 alone, many of these pages require new license fees to be paid. As an example of the degree it has reached, a dog being transported across state lines now requires quarantine and inspection. All of course billable for those even aware of such a law. Mandatory veterinary services (i.e vaccinations) government reporting can result in a new unsuspecting dog owner receiving a fine notification from the state for not having quarantined or had the dog inspected.
  • TOLLS are on the rise to fund badly needed Infrastructure. At first glance this does not seem unreasonable or unexpected. Uproar in Rhode Island recently brought to light the taxation game going on. Monies from the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009  were given to the state to build a major state bridge. The state then placed a toll on the new bridge. The people fought it in court as “double dipping” and the state was finally forced to back off. As increasingly US public infrastructure is moved to private corporations this is nothing more than taxation in a different fashion as state taxes are not reduced for the gains on the private sales but rather the tax payers only see tolls or fees arise from what was formally covered by their state tax.

Federal Taxation – Global Wealth Taxation

  • GLOBAL WEALTH TAX is presently having the mechanics for its implementation being put in place. In their October 2013 Fiscal Monitor Report to kick this off, the IMF painted a dire picture for advanced economies with high debt that fail to balance their budgets. The report builds a case for draconian measures including the direct confiscation of assets. On page 49 of the IMF’s report they state:  “The sharp deterioration of the public finances in many countries has revived interest in a ‘capital levy’— a one-off tax on private wealth – as an exceptional measure to restore debt sustainability. The appeal is that such a tax, if it is implemented before avoidance is possible and there is a belief that it will never be repeated, does not distort behavior (and may be seen by some as fair) .. The conditions for success are strong, but also need to be weighed against the risks of the alternatives, which include repudiating public debt or inflating it away (these, in turn, are a particular form of wealth tax—on bondholders—that also falls on nonresidents) .. reducing debt ratios to end-2007 levels would require (for a sample of 15 euro area countries) a tax rate of about 10 percent on households with positive net wealth.”

Forbes in their report “The International Monetary Fund Lays The Groundwork For Global Wealth Confiscation”  point out some of the IMF taxation guidance: “”IMF economists know there are not enough rich people to fund today’s governments even if 100% of the assets of the 1% were expropriated. That means that all households with positive net wealth—everyone with retirement savings or home equity—would have their assets plundered under the IMF’s formulation.” This is where the bankruptcy of the debt-mired western world is taking us – “capital controls and exit restrictions so the proverbial four wolves and a lamb can vote on what’s for dinner.”

The IMF report says “There is a surprisingly large amount of experience to draw on, as such levies were widely adopted in Europe after World War I.” The Forbes essay: “And we all know how well that worked out.”

For those who want to know more they need to study PFIC, FATCA and GATCA, all explained in Financial Repression Authority videos by those in the know.

  • INHERITANCE TAX can be expected to return with a vengeance. With inequality in America so blatant that both Democrat and Republican parties are presently talking about it in their primary campaign rhetoric. The public will likely accept this tax of the “rich”. However the rich will find clever ways around it while the public will simply surrender its greatly reduced life savings which they were hoping their children could use to get themselves out of debt.
  • MEANS TESTING is already gaining significant public “narrative” and so we should fully be prepared for means testing for Medicare and Social Security as the Baby Boomer bulge fully arrives over the next two years.
  • CIVIL FORFEITURE is a major new tax device which allows the government to take people’s property, even if a person has not been charged with a crime. What does it take for law enforcement to take property? Nothing more than a “preponderance of evidence” that the property was connected with criminal activity. Jared Meyer of Economics21 explains: while most people think about forfeiture as taking the property of drug dealers or other criminals, the government has used civil forfeiture to take vast amounts of property from entirely innocent individuals.

The use of the civil forfeiture power has exploded in recent years:

  • In 2001, $407 million was seized under civil forfeiture laws; in 2012, a whopping $4.3 billion was seized.
  • From 2001 to 2012, law enforcement has taken $2.5 billion in cash from 62,000 Americans, all without warrants or indictments.

Meyer offers examples of forfeiture victims:

  • When Roderick Daniels was pulled over for going two miles over the speed limit in 2007, police seized $8,500 in cash that he was carrying. Daniels had planned to purchase a car with the money.
  • George Reby was pulled over in Tennessee for speeding and had $22,000 taken from him by a police officer. Again, Reby intended to purchase a car with the money.
  • When small business owner Carole Hinders made multiple cash deposits of less than $10,000 into her bank account, the government suspected money laundering and took $33,000 from her.

What happens to the seized property, be it cash, cars, jewelry or something else entirely? When the federal government does the seizing, Meyer writes that the funds go to the Department of Justice (DOJ). The DOJ has an Asset Forfeiture Fund, which then distributes the proceeds for various law enforcement needs.

In the past few years, Washington DC police officers have made more than 12000 civil asset seizures under city & federal laws. In a “Stop and Seize” investigative series by the Washington Post in November 2014 they cover the fact in their sixth installment that “D.C. police plan for future seizure proceeds years in advance in city budget documents  … D.C. police have made plans for millions of dollars in anticipated proceeds from future civil seizures of cash and property, even though federal guidelines say ‘agencies may not commit’ to such spending in advance”.

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VIDEO

Martin Armstrong cites: “Worse yet, cities need money desperately. They are now including civil asset forfeitures as part of their budget. In other words, police are under orders to confiscate your money for any excuse possible. This was the end phase of the Roman Empire. The army began sacking Roman cities on the pretense they stood against whoever the proclaimed to be emperor. Rome weakened itself and cannibalized its own civilization. This is what government is doing now in the USA.” He strongly warns: “never pick up a hick-hiker in trouble for if they have any drugs, even marijuana, there goes YOUR assets!”

The law lets the  I.R.S.seize accounts on suspicion, no crime required!  A NY Times article frighteningly highlights the growing phenomenon in the U.S. of civil asset forfeitures .. “Using a law designed to catch drug traffickers, racketeers and terrorists by tracking their cash, the government has gone after run-of-the-mill business owners and wage earners without so much as an allegation that they have committed serious crimes. The government can take the money without ever filing a criminal complaint, and the owners are left to prove they are innocent. Many give up.”

This is happening across America but especially in Texas, Tennessee, Michigan where it was reported that “a town of 150 people called Estelline Texas earns more than 89% of its gross revenues from traffic fines and forfeitures.

  • CAPITAL GAINS TAX has become a strong political talking point after 6 years of unprecedented financial market performance. Political strategists know this must occur before we have the next market draw down. Taxes are 100% payable on Capital gains when they are earned but there is only a $3000 per year cap on write-offs on losses. Effectively the governments only wins and you can only lose on market investments.
  • SOCIAL SECURITY TAXATION is something the Baby Boomer generation will soon learn about. They are under the impression they will pay minimal tax on their Social Security. What they don’t know is that over $33,000 in taxable income makes your Social Security payments eligible for a 50% tax. Over $44,000 and your Social Security tax payments become 85%. This has been quietly slipped into the tax code and no doubt will increase going forward. With Social Security indexed by a fictitious CPI, more and more Baby Boomers are required to work. This “extra money will only push them into this increasingly predatory tax position. To have a livable income baby boomers who are be pressured to stay working in greater numbers, may be forced to pay nearly all their Social Security to tax to survive.

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To put all the above in perspective regarding  the degree of taxation we should fully expect, my friend and Macro Analytics Co-Host Charles Hugh Smith wrote this “template letter”.  It somewhat cynically outlines what we should soon expect from the government to help fulfill its escalating pension & healthcare promises to current & to retired government employees:

Dear Resident:

As you may have read, the costs of fulfilling our pension and healthcare promises to our retired and current employees have soared. As a result, pensions, healthcare and the annual interest due on city bonds (money we borrowed in the past) now consume all tax revenues.

Without additional funding, we will have to lay off all current employees and close City Hall, the libraries, the fire and police departments, parks and recreation, and the rest of the city departments.

To avoid this, we are asking you to approve increases in fees for use and the sale of new bonds to raise desperately needed funding.

The proposed fees for use:

  1. A 50% annual increase in city garbage collection fees for the next decade, after which we anticipate an annual increase of 45% until 2096.
    2. Building permits for any project under $5,000 will cost a minimum of $5,000. Fees for larger projects will start at $10,000 and rise on a sliding scale based on the value of the project.
    3. Homeowners and contractors caught attempting to evade the building permit process will be fined a minimum of $5,000 or 200% of the estimated cost of their project, whichever is higher.
    4. All street parking in the city will require an annual parking permit of $1,200 per vehicle per year.
    5. Day use of all city parks will now cost $10 per family per day. Reserving BBQ grills and tables will cost $100.
    6. Internet and wifi service in the city will be taxed $1,000 annually per household.
    7. Residents will be taxed $100 each annually, payable on the first of January, for consuming the city’s air.
    8. Parking violations will be increased from $35 per violation to $500 per violation.
    9. Asking city staff for information about city regulations will cost $10, payable before the question is asked.
    10. All residents will pay a sidewalk usage fee of $100 annually.
    11. A hotel tax of 100% of the cost the room will be imposed from January 1, 2016, including private AirBnB rentals of rooms and apartments.
    12. Every home-based business must obtain a city business license annually for a sliding-scale fee that starts at $1,000. Anyone caught evading this tax will be jailed as a financial terrorist bent on depriving city employees of their livelihoods.
    Residents who cannot afford the new fees can deed their homes to the city, and pay rent to live in the home they once owned.

Unfortunately, the new fees for use will only pay a fraction of the salaries of our employees and managers, and so we also need your approval of new bonds:

BOND A: $30 million to keep the libraries open for two years.
BOND B: $30 million to keep City Hall open for two years.
BOND C: $30 million to fill the gargantuan potholes in city streets for two years.
BOND D: $30 million to keep the city parks open for two years.
BOND E: $30 million to keep the city Public Affairs department funded for two years, so they can continue explaining why the city is broke and why it’s such a great place to live.
BOND F: $30 million to hire retired employees pulling down $8,000 a month in pensions and benefits for $100,000 per year salaries as “consultants.”
BOND G: $30 million to fund a public-relations campaign for two years extolling the city’s “green initiatives” and selling the city’s potential to global corporations.
BOND H: $30 million to fund tax breaks for global corporations that open an office in the city.
BOND I: $30 million to fund studies on how to raise more revenues from fees for use.
BOND J: $30 million to fund more appeals like this for increased fees for use and the issuance of more bonds to fund everyday city functions.
BOND K: $30 million to purchase a surplus M1 Abrams tank for crowd control and to root out financial terrorists depriving the city of the revenue it deserves.

With your support, the city managers expect revenues to cover expenses by 2096, assuming the city’s functions have been fully automated and there are only 12 employees left managing the servers. Until then, please support our efforts to grow the city out of its budgetary hole.

Don’t say you weren’t warned!

Disclaimer: The views or opinions expressed in this blog post may or may not be representative of the views or opinions of the Financial Repression Authority.


01/03/2016 - New Bank Bailin System Now In Place In Europe Effective 1 January 2016

The Economic Collapse highlights the new bail-in system now in effect in Europe .. “This new system is based on the Cyprus bank bail-ins that we witnessed a few years ago. If you will remember, money was grabbed from anyone that had more than 100,000 euros in their bank accounts in order to bail out the banks. Now the exact same principles that were used in Cyprus are going to apply to all of Europe. And with the entire global financial system teetering on the brink of chaos, that is not good news for those that have large amounts of money stashed in shaky European banks.” .. details some of the verbiage from the announcement .. considers the possibility of bank bailins in the U.S.. it’s financial repression.

LINK HERE to the article

LINK HERE to European Parliament News

Disclaimer: The views or opinions expressed in this blog post may or may not be representative of the views or opinions of the Financial Repression Authority.