Blog

11/04/2021 - Alejandro Tagliavini on Elon Musk and The Natural Market

“As I have explained in previous notes, succinctly, today there are three economic theories. Keysianism, which we know for being a great setter of bubbles, print and print money bills believing that this is how they move the economy and what they achieve is an artificial balloon that when explodes destroys more than what eventually achieved. Then, the neoclassical economic theory -the preferred one of market operators who distrust exaggerated issuance- whose characteristic consists in believing in the equilibrium -of the supply and demand curve- of the market, which implies that perfect knowledge has been reached and, therefore, that it is static and rigid: the company is only a productive function, a means to transform inputs into products.

nd, finally, the theory of the natural market (“free” from artificial State interference), initiated by the Spanish scholastics of the School of Salamanca of the 15th and 16th centuries, and taken up, to some extent, by the Austrian School of Economy that knows that there is no equilibrium -because there is no perfect, static knowledge- but a specific environment in permanent movement, which tends towards equilibrium at the rate at which market players find new knowledge that is always perfectible and pose new horizons that move the point of balance.”

Link Here to the Article

Disclaimer: The views or opinions expressed in this blog post may or may not be representative of the views or opinions of the Financial Repression Authority.


11/01/2021 - Yra Harris: The Odious Designs of ECB Policy

“The coordination of central bank policies for the last decade is what is truly ODIOUS but its continuation provides trading and investment opportunities. Our job is to find those and put the lowest risk strategies to work. Now onto the FOMC meeting this week.”

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10/29/2021 - Dr. Albert Friedberg on Inflation and Commodities – Quarterly Podcast

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10/26/2021 - The Roundtable Insight – Peter Boockvar and Yra Harris on Inflation, Currencies, Interest Rates and Commodities

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10/25/2021 - Marc Faber on the Federal Reserve and the U.S. Dollar

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10/19/2021 - The Roundtable Insight: Democracy, Economics and Entrepreneurship in the Future of Spain and Latin America

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10/18/2021 - Yra Harris: Shedding Some Light

“The FED wants to proclaim how noble its efforts have been but the DEBT created in its name have not had its day of reckoning. Maybe, that is why inflation is deemed to be the best cure to the massive problem providing a SPECTRE that haunts the world. This will be a theme for the fourth quarter here at NOTES FROM UNDERGROUND.”

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10/16/2021 - Dr. Albert Friedberg on Stagflation and Commodities

“The investment implications are clear to us. With the coming “taper,” long-term rates will float upwards and eventually surpass nominal GDP annual growth rates. Commodities will continue to lead the way. Critical among them are coal, oil, and natural gas; their explosive path, driven by already favourable fundamentals, is being magnified by the consequences of ill-thought-out moves to transition to greener energy. Base metals, cotton, sugar, coffee, each for their own particular reason, will soon be making multi-year highs (cotton already has). It’s only a matter of time before precious metals join the parade. Because inflation does not follow a straight line and is quite lumpy, an index best captures the bull market. That’s what we have done to date. Still, we have also allowed ourselves to be selective, at least with respect to the most liquid and important commodities.”

Link Here to the Latest Quarterly Report

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10/14/2021 - Felix Zulauf, Dr. Lacy Hunt and Grant Williams on Bonds, Interest Rates, the Financial Markets

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10/14/2021 - Dr. Lacy Hunt on Bond Yields

Lacy Hunt Sticks With His Message: Lower Bond Yields On the Way

“Citing unproductive debt, velocity, and a negative multiplier from government debt, Lacy Hunt sticks with his prognosis of lower treasury yields.”

by Mish Shedlock

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10/13/2021 - The Roundtable Insight – Prof. Barry Eichengreen and Yra Harris on Debt, the Dollar and Inflation

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10/11/2021 - The Roundtable Insight – The Future of Argentina, Spain, Latin America and Europe (in Spanish)

Podcast in YouTube and MP3 Download – See Below:

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10/08/2021 - The Roundtable Insight – Charles Hugh Smith on the Failure of the Federal Reserve and Rising Secular Inflation

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10/05/2021 - Luke Gromen and Adam Taggart on Inflation or Default?

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10/05/2021 - Alejandro Tagliavini – Cat for hare or black for green

English: “The macro team at the very prestigious Nordea Bank sees a highly volatile global future. And it points out some important factors. Lower liquidity which implies, ironically, lower inflation, that is, less boost to the Wall Street bubble, “less money to drive valuations up”. Global growth is slowing, among other things, due to disruptions in the supply chain – such as delayed quarantines and other market violations – plus the latest energy problems that “could force a more negative scenario in the short term”.

Link Here to the Article – English

“El equipo macro del muy prestigioso Nordea Bank ve un futuro global con bastante volatilidad. Y señala algunos factores importantes. Menor liquidez lo que implica, irónicamente, menor inflación, esto es, menos impulso a la burbuja de Wall Street, “menos dinero para impulsar las valoraciones al alza”. El crecimiento global se desacelera, entre otras cosas, debido a las interrupciones en la cadena de suministros -como rezago de las cuarentenas y demás violaciones al mercado- más los últimos problemas con la energía que “podrían forzar un escenario más negativo a corto plazo”.”

Link Here to the Article – Spanish

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09/21/2021 - Alejandro Tagliavini – Entre la “invalorable” ayuda del estatista FMI y Evergrande

“De repetirse los resultados de las Paso en noviembre, entre otras cosas, el oficialismo perdería seis senadores quedándose sin quorum propio y, a eso, lo consideran muy peligroso. Si no recuerdo mal, el peronismo siempre ha tenido mayoría en el Senado desde la vuelta de la democracia en 1983. Además, en mi opinión, hace mucho ruido la fuerza con que surgió inesperadamente Milei, con un discurso muy contrario a las ideas gobernantes y a los políticos. La anti política, casi anti-Estado que gana fuerza en todo el mundo.”

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09/07/2021 - The Roundtable Insight – Sustainability in Sports

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09/06/2021 - Alejandro Tagliavini – Raw materials with an uncertain future

“For decades the industrial sector in Argentina has had very little weight because the State not only takes away work capacity with so many regulations -limitations and prohibitions-, but also takes away large resources through taxation and takes almost all the financial resources.”

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09/03/2021 - Yra Harris: Will It Be An Inflated Jobs Report?

“Give the markets time to digest the contextual basis of jobs and see if Powell’s concerns are realized in the August data and that employment remains well below the FED‘s mandate of full-employment. If the DATA is weak expect the DOLLAR to weaken, GOLD TO RALLYBONDS TO ATTAIN some strength as it will push back the central bank’s desire to CURB ITS ASSET PURCHASES. It’s also LABOR DAY WEEKEND so be very patient as trading will not be as liquid as desks will be vacant due to the holiday. PATIENCE FOR THE NARRATIVE TO UNFOLD.”

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08/26/2021 - The Roundtable Insight – Harley Bassman, Brian Pellegrini and Yra Harris on the Economy and the Financial Markets

podcast to be posted shortly ..

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